Match Info

2. SNL - Round 27

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Dravinja		Ilirija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.15	2.78	Watch
	2.28	3.35	2.93
	2.7	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.3	3	2.7
	2.3	3.04	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)	3.13 ↓ (3.33)	2.81 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dravinja
38.3%

Draw
29.2%

Ilirija Ljubljana
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

26.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dravinja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ilirija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dravinja than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Dravinja - Ilirija Ljubljana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dravinja won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dravinja won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ilirija	9	4	1	4	15:10	5	13
15	Dravinja	9	1	1	7	9:24	-15	4

Last Results with these Odds

Dravinja - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.63%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Dravinja
Slovenian 2 SNL
30.04.26	Dravinja - Krka	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Dravinja	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Dravinja - Slovan Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Triglav - Dravinja	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dravinja - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWLT
- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
30.04.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Nafta	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Krka - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:4 ✺
17.04.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
25.10.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Dravinja	2:5
19.04.25	Dravinja - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1
06.10.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Dravinja	0:1
10.03.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Dravinja	1:3
20.08.23	Dravinja - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0

Dravinja - Ilirija Ljubljana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide