Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri (Pristina) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	20:00	TVP Sport


	Drita Gjilan		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.7	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.68
	4.5	3.75	1.72
	4.9	3.85	1.7
	4.59	3.86	1.7
	5	3.94	1.72	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↓ (4.87)	3.78 ↑ (3.65)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drita Gjilan
19.9%

Draw
24.9%

Legia Warsaw
55.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.6%

26.1%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

26.1%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drita Gjilan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	8.3%	75%

Drita Gjilan - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Drita will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Legia will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maloku F. (G) 2. Krasniqi B. 15. Bejtulai E. 5. Mesa J. 26. Ovouka R. 20. Zulfiu I. 4. Broja R. (C) 36. Mustafa I. 29. Fressange A. 9. Manaj A. 25. Tusha V.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 12. Pankov R. 8. Augustyniak R. 42. Sergio Barcia 13. Wszolek P. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 5. Goncalves C. 82. Luquinhas 19. Vinagre R. 17. Alfarela M. 9. Kramer B.
Substitutes
7. Ajzeraj A. 22. Behluli L. (G) 8. Huruglica E. 17. Ibrahim S. 47. Isufi D. 74. Isufi E. (G) 19. Krasniqi B. 11. Selmani K. 3. Sheji B. 30. Zenunaj M.	4. Burch M. 21. Celhaka J. 11. Chodyna K. 28. Gual M. 3. Kapuadi S. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 23. Kun P. 25. Morishita R. 77. Nsame J. 7. Pekhart T. 50. Wojciech B. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Ramadani Z.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
26', Kramer B. 🟨,
36', Broja R. 🟨,
45+2', Kapustka B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tusha V. ↓, Krasniqi B. ↑,
46', Sergio Barcia ↓, Kapuadi S. ↑,
46', Fressange A. ↓, Ajzeraj A. ↑,
49', Goncalves C. 🟨,
57', Ajzeraj A. 🟨,
63', Manaj A. 🟨,
63', Kapustka B. ↓, Morishita R. ↑,
63', Alfarela M. ↓, Gual M. ↑,
65', Zulfiu I. ↓, Selmani K. ↑,
69', Kramer B. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
70', Manaj A. ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,
73', Wszolek P. 🟨,
77', Broja R. 🟨,
84', Goncalves C. ↓, Celhaka J. ↑,
87', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Pekhart T. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Drita is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Legia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Drita won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Drita Gjilan
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Drita Gjilan	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Drita Gjilan - Auda Riga	3:1 ET ✺
08.08.24	Auda Riga - Drita Gjilan	1:0 ✺
30.07.24	Drita Gjilan - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Breiðablik - Drita Gjilan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWW
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Drita Gjilan	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Brøndby	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Drita Gjilan	2:0

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