Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 4

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Germany	Laola1
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Legia Warsaw		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.90	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.40	6.25
	1.50	4.30	5.75
	1.47	4.70	6.82
	1.48	4.65	6.37	Watch
	1.47	4.35	6.75
	1.47	4.30	6.24	Watch
	1.48	4.30	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.59)	4.36 ↑ (3.95)	6.3 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
63.6%

Draw
21.5%

Radomiak Radom
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Hindrich O. (G) 91. Piatkowski K. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Deziel R. 4. Szymanski D. 22. Wszolek P. 23. Sevcik M. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 19. Vinagre R. 79. Zjawinski L. 9. Adamski R.	99. Gradecki B. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 3. Szczesniak K. 26. Dieguez A. 97. Conrado 8. Camara I. 90. Lumungo R. 27. Wolski R. (C) 82. Luquinhas 13. Grzesik J. 15. Tapsoba A.
Substitutes
6. Arreiol H. 24. Arsenic Z. 59. Bienduga J. (G) 11. Chodyna K. 7. Kuchta J. 97. Mikanovich E. 29. Rajovic M. 13. Reca A. 53. Urbanski W. 20. Zewlakow J.	28. Baro R. 5. Blasco J. 77. Donis C. 11. Goure F. 23. Karasek K. 47. Kilianek S. 72. Koperski F. 1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 18. Manu 33. Markiewicz O. 7. Nunnely C. 17. Zabicki A.
Coaches
Papszun M.	Kaczmarek T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Sevcik M. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
9', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
10', 2 - 0, Augustyniak R. ⚽,
17', 3 - 0, Adamski R. ⚽, Vinagre R. (A),
44', 4 - 0, Kapustka B. ⚽,
45+2', Dieguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sevcik M. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
51', 5 - 0, Kapustka B. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
56', Adamski R. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
56', Szymanski D. ↓, Arreiol H. ↑,
57', Tapsoba A. ↓, Goure F. ↑,
57', Lumungo R. ↓, Baro R. ↑,
61', Dieguez A. ↓, Koperski F. ↑,
61', Camara I. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
71', Zjawinski L. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
81', Conrado ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
82', Wszolek P. ↓, Mikanovich E. ↑,
90+1', Kapustka B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.

Legia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Radomiak has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Radomiak has had a series of home games.

In this match, Legia is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Legia: Colak A. (Face Injury) Stojanovic P. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Inactive) Kingue S. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Legia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Legia: 13.85% Radomiak Radom: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Legia	9	5	4	0	19:8	11	19
15	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.08.26	Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Aris Limassol	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWLW
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
02.08.26	GKS Katowice - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Legia II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	3:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.03.26	Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw	1:1
14.09.25	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	4:1
22.02.25	Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw	3:1
18.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	4:1
05.05.24	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	0:3
05.11.23	Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw	0:1

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