Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 4

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball app


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.77
	4.5	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.47	3.66	1.8
	4.53	3.73	1.78	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.7
	4.41	3.7	1.76	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4.28)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
21%

Draw
25.8%

Legia Warsaw
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

25.5%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.9%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	11.8%	70.6%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Legia will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Komar K. (G) 8. Mrozinski P. 3. Yakuba R. 22. Craciun A. 18. Siplak M. 5. Stepien K. 14. Serafin J. (C) 6. Lee Jin-Hyun 24. Blagaic J. 33. Abramowicz D. 35. Kosidis M.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 55. Jedrzejczyk A. (C) 24. Ziolkowski J. 3. Kapuadi S. 11. Chodyna K. 25. Morishita R. 5. Goncalves C. 82. Luquinhas 19. Vinagre R. 9. Kramer B. 77. Nsame J.
Substitutes
11. Cholewiak M. 23. Kielis P. 77. Kogut D. 31. Perchel M. (G) 17. Radecki M. 67. Revenco I. 27. Solowiej L. 10. Tomalski H. 16. Walski M.	17. Alfarela M. 8. Augustyniak R. 28. Gual M. 67. Kapustka B. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 23. Kun P. 12. Pankov R. 7. Pekhart T. 42. Sergio Barcia
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Morishita R. ⚽, Luquinhas (A),
17', 1 - 1, Craciun A. (Pen),
22', 1 - 2, Kramer B. ⚽, Vinagre R. (A),
32', Blagaic J. 🟨,
40', Siplak M. 🟨,
41', 2 - 2, Blagaic J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Blagaic J. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
54', Nsame J. ↓, Gual M. ↑,
54', Goncalves C. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
57', Lee Jin-Hyun (Pen),
65', Kramer B. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
65', Ziolkowski J. ↓, Sergio Barcia ↑,
69', Mrozinski P. ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
79', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Pankov R. ↑,
83', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
83', Kosidis M. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
84', Serafin J. ↓, Walski M. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Puszcza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Legia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Puszcza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Puszcza have a series of guest games.

In this match Legia is a favorite.

There will not play in Puszcza: Kidric R. (Injury) Siemaszko A. (Injury)

There will not play in Legia: Burch M. (Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.08.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0 ✺
26.07.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Górnik Zabrze	2:2 ✺
19.07.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
09.07.24	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTT
- Legia Warsaw
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Brøndby - Legia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Caernarfon Town - Legia Warsaw	0:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.07.24	Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Caernarfon Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
18.02.24	Legia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1
13.08.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	1:1
Polish Cup
25.09.19	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	0:2

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