Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, TV4


	Legia Warsaw		Drita Gjilan

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.5	21	Watch
	1.16	7.25	13.5
	1.16	7	15
	1.15	7.07	19.09
	1.16	7.09	15.54
	1.18	5.5	13
	1.16	8.35	19.5	Watch
	1.16	7	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.3)	6.97 ↑ (4.96)	16.45 ↑ (9.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
80.9%

Draw
13.4%

Drita Gjilan
5.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

18.8%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.6%	7.4%	0%

Legia Warsaw - Drita Gjilan Predictions

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 8. Augustyniak R. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. (C) 42. Sergio Barcia 13. Wszolek P. 67. Kapustka B. 5. Goncalves C. 82. Luquinhas 19. Vinagre R. 17. Alfarela M. 9. Kramer B.	1. Maloku F. (G) 15. Bejtulai E. 5. Mesa J. 6. Gomda H. 26. Ovouka R. 4. Broja R. (C) 2. Krasniqi B. 11. Selmani K. 14. Dabiqaj A. 7. Ajzeraj A. 19. Krasniqi B.
Substitutes
4. Burch M. 11. Chodyna K. 28. Gual M. 3. Kapuadi S. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 23. Kun P. 25. Morishita R. 77. Nsame J. 12. Pankov R. 7. Pekhart T. 71. Szczepaniak M. 24. Ziolkowski J.	22. Behluli L. (G) 29. Fressange A. 8. Huruglica E. 17. Ibrahim S. 47. Isufi D. 74. Isufi E. (G) 9. Manaj A. 36. Mustafa I. 3. Sheji B. 25. Tusha V. 30. Zenunaj M. 20. Zulfiu I.
Coaches
Feio G.	Ramadani Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Dabiqaj A. 🟨,
25', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
31', Gomda H. 🟥,
41', Vinagre R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Kramer B. ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, Gual M. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Manaj A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Legia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Drita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Legia is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Legia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Brøndby	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Brøndby - Legia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTWL
- FC Drita Gjilan
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Drita Gjilan - Auda Riga	3:1 ET ✺
08.08.24	Auda Riga - Drita Gjilan	1:0 ✺
30.07.24	Drita Gjilan - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Breiðablik - Drita Gjilan	1:2 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
25.05.24	Drita Gjilan - Malisheva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWT

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