Match Info

Date: 4 March 2022, Friday


	Druids		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.49
	5.15	4	1.5
	5.6	4.3	1.44
	5.2	4.09	1.48
	4.6	4	1.55
	5.85	4.33	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (6.2)	4.15 ↓ (5)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Druids
17.3%

Draw
21.8%

Aberystwyth Town
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

15.9%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Druids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aberystwyth Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Druids than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aberystwyth Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Druids - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Druids won 0.

Druids has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aberystwyth Town is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aberystwyth Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aberystwyth Town is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aberystwyth Town to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Druids won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 22-45.

Including matches at home between the teams Druids won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Druids FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.02.22	Druids - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
11.02.22	Druids - The New Saints	1:4 ✺
01.02.22	The New Saints - Druids	5:1 ✺
28.01.22	Aberystwyth Town - Druids	5:0 ✺
21.01.22	Druids - Caernarfon Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.02.22	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	2:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
19.02.22	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.02.22	Haverfordwest County - Aberystwyth Town	0:0 ✺
01.02.22	Aberystwyth Town - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
28.01.22	Aberystwyth Town - Druids	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
28.01.22	Aberystwyth Town - Druids	5:0
13.10.21	Druids - Aberystwyth Town	0:1
Welsh FA Cup
25.09.21	Aberystwyth Town - Druids	4:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
27.04.21	Aberystwyth Town - Druids	5:1
20.04.21	Druids - Aberystwyth Town	0:3
02.04.21	Aberystwyth Town - Druids	3:1
06.10.20	Druids - Aberystwyth Town	0:4

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