Match Info

Cymru South - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Trethomas Bluebirds

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.65	2.98
	2.01	4.01	2.96
	2.02	3.64	3.34	Watch
	1.95	3.6	2.9
	1.99	3.82	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.08)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	3.03 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
45.7%

Draw
24.3%

Trethomas Bluebirds
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

24.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

23.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Aberystwyth Town - Trethomas Bluebirds Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Aberystwyth (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberystwyth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Evans O. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Evans O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Smith C. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 13).

Aberystwyth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trethomas Bluebirds's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aberystwyth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aberystwyth could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aberystwyth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
07.03.26	Trefelin - Aberystwyth Town	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely	0:4 ✺
24.02.26	Ammanford - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Aberystwyth Town - Treowen Stars	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Baglan Dragons - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW
- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
09.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Carmarthen Town	4:5 ✺
01.03.26	Cambrian United - Trethomas Bluebirds	4:2 ✺
20.02.26	Afan Lido - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Ammanford - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
01.11.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Aberystwyth Town	2:3

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