The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Druzhba Maykop 43.3%
Draw 26%
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.3%
26.5%
61.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.1%
24.9%
57.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Druzhba Maykop has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Druzhba Maykop's performance.
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yenisey Krasnoyarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Druzhba Maykop than the current prediction. (-30.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Druzhba Maykop that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+26.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yenisey Krasnoyarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Druzhba (votes: 3 - 100%).
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Khachirov T. (G) 9. Ashev A. 23. Blagoz R. 44. Cherdzhiev S. 5. Datiev Z. S. 8. Khakhov T. 70. Khuako R. 63. Koblev Z. 7. Konov A. 27. Tsanava E. 99. Yushko K.
23. Antipin S. (G) 15. Balakhonov M. 96. Kazakov R. 65. Kolesov A. 62. Kravtsov V. 77. Ogienko R. 59. Ostrovskiy A. 57. Shupyakov E. 97. Skavysh V. 61. Stepin M. 71. Terpugov N.
Substitutes
13. Delok A. 97. Khapishtov A. 4. Kobzh M. 12. Kudryavtsev E. 17. Malysh M. 76. Shustov N. 22. Tlyashok R. (G) 77. Yedigov T. 10. Zezarakhov A.
83. Ambrosenok D. 68. Dmitruk M. 88. Egorov A. 51. Livanov D. 36. Lutashev V. 39. Sorokin A. (G) 66. Terpugov Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Skavysh V. ↓, Livanov D. ↑,
54', Kolesov A. ↓, Lutashev V. ↑,
54', Terpugov N. ↓, Egorov A. ↑,
65', Khakhov T. ↓, Malysh M. ↑,
66', Ashev A. ↓, Delok A. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Lutashev V. ⚽,
68', Ogienko R. ↓, Terpugov Z. ↑,
79', Balakhonov M. ↓, Ambrosenok D. ↑,
81', Konov A. ↓, Zezarakhov A. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Datiev Z. S. ⚽,
88', Egorov A. 🟥,
90', Koblev Z. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Koblev Z. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Lutashev V. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tsanava E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kazakov R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Malysh M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Terpugov Z. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Khuako R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Stepin M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kravtsov V. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In recent matches, Druzhba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Yenisey is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Yenisey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Yenisey has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
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Khachirov T. (G) 
Khapishtov A. 
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