Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 17

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)


	Duisburg		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.33
	1.57	4.3	4.8
	1.57	4.15	4.87
	1.55	4.17	4.97
	1.57	4	4.4
	1.53	4.15	4.9
	1.55	4.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)	4.17 ↓ (4.25)	4.74 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
58.8%

Draw
21.9%

Sportfreunde Lotte
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

21.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

20.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Duisburg - Sportfreunde Lotte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Symalla J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 4).

Duisburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches SF Lotte is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Duisburg have a series of guest games.

In this match Duisburg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Duisburg to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German Regionalliga West
23.11.24	Uerdingen - Duisburg	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Wuppertal - Duisburg	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Duisburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	3:1 ✺
30.10.24	Bocholt - Duisburg	2:4 ✺
25.10.24	Köln II - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWT
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
23.11.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Wuppertal	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Köln II	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Düren - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bocholt	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
06.05.17	Duisburg - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1
04.12.16	Sportfreunde Lotte - Duisburg	0:2

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