Match Info

3. Liga - Round 14

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Duisburg		Waldhof Mannheim

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.28	3.45	2.82
	2.36	3.65	2.88
	2.00	3.67	3.28	Watch
	2.24	3.38	2.8	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2)	3.53 ↓ (3.67)	3.03 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
42.8%

Draw
26.5%

Waldhof Mannheim
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25.3%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duisburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Waldhof will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Duisburg (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Waldhof (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Waldhof (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 17. Gockan M. 6. Bulic R. 14. Noss C. 10. Viet C. 37. Sussek P. 9. Heike T.	1. Nijhuis T. (G) 24. Klunter L. (C) 6. Hoffmann N. 15. Karbstein M. 17. Abifade S. 10. Ferati A. 21. Rieckmann J. 28. Michel D. 38. Masca 32. Okpala K. 9. Lohkemper F.
Substitutes
11. Dittgen M. 20. Jessen N. 26. Kruger F. 18. Meuer S. 19. Muller L. 24. Paris J. (G) 40. Schlicke B. 33. Tugbenyo J. 30. Visser A.	42. Bauer M. 13. Boyd T. 30. Hawryluk L. (G) 14. Iwe E. 41. Kryeziu D. 35. Mendes D. 16. Niemann J. (G) 4. Sechelmann T. 18. Yigit S.
Coaches
Hirsch D.	Holtz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Noss C. ⚽, Heike T. (A),
45+1', Sussek P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 2 - 0, Bitter J. ⚽, Gockan M. (A),
70', Masca ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
70', Michel D. ↓, Mendes D. ↑,
70', Heike T. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
73', Mendes D. 🟨,
78', Sussek P. ↓, Tugbenyo J. ↑,
78', Tugbenyo J. 🟨,
84', Bitter J. 🟨,
84', Lohkemper F. ↓, Iwe E. ↑,
85', Rieckmann J. ↓, Sechelmann T. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Boyd T. ⚽, Ferati A. (A),
90', Viet C. ↓, Meuer S. ↑,
90+1', Noss C. ↓, Muller L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Duisburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
01.11.25	Osnabrück - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	1860 München - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Duisburg - Hansa Rostock	2:2 ✺
30.09.25	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLTT
- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
02.11.25	Hoffenheim II - Waldhof Mannheim	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Waldhof Mannheim - 1860 München	3:1 ✺
17.10.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Osnabrück	1:4 ✺
30.09.25	TSV Havelse - Waldhof Mannheim	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
12.04.24	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1
05.11.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg	0:0
27.05.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg	3:1
23.01.23	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3
02.05.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg	3:1
26.11.21	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3
10.04.21	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1

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