Match Info

3. Liga - Round 9

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	19:00	SportKlub 4
Germany	19:00	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	19:00	SportKlub 4
Usa	13:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	17:00	OneFootball TV


	Saarbrücken		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.38	Watch
	2.50	3.60	2.55
	2.55	3.45	2.45	Watch
	2.67	3.67	2.55
	2.49	3.75	2.49	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.45
	2.59	3.62	2.46	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.38)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	2.47 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
36.4%

Draw
25.9%

Duisburg
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.8%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

27%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Saarbrücken - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Duisburg will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bignetti M. (G) 42. Fahrner P. 21. Cvjetinovic M. 4. Voet S. 28. Bretschneider N. 5. Gleiber D. 14. Shuaib Z. 31. Owusu K. 20. Pick F. (C) 22. Caliskaner K. 29. Staff A.	1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 20. Jessen N. 8. Casar A. 6. Bulic R. (C) 3. Christensen F. 14. Noss C. 11. Kother D. 9. Lobinger L.
Substitutes
3. Bauerle A. 33. Broll K. (G) 9. Brunker K. 8. Gurpuz G. 15. Kamara A. 10. Kuhlwetter C. 16. Lee Seung-Joon 7. Rizzuto C. 19. Vasiliadis S.	17. Besuschkow M. 27. Coskun C. 43. Haddou R. 26. Kruger F. 39. Remmert P. 19. Safi R. 33. Stahl T. (G) 37. Sussek P.
Coaches
Giannikis A.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
29', 0 - 1, Lobinger L. ⚽, Casar A. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Fleckstein T. ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Bulic R. ⚽, Lobinger L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gleiber D. ↓, Vasiliadis S. ↑,
46', Caliskaner K. ↓, Brunker K. ↑,
47', Fahrner P. 🟨,
50', 1 - 3, Brunker K. ⚽,
54', Fahrner P. ↓, Rizzuto C. ↑,
60', Staff A. ↓, Gurpuz G. ↑,
67', Lobinger L. ↓, Remmert P. ↑,
67', Noss C. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
69', Pick F. 🟨,
75', Jessen N. ↓, Besuschkow M. ↑,
75', Christensen F. ↓, Coskun C. ↑,
79', Shuaib Z. ↓, Kuhlwetter C. ↑,
79', Kother D. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
81', 1 - 4, Kruger F. ⚽, Bitter J. (A),
90+1', 2 - 4, Gurpuz G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 1st in the Promotion - 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 0.

In recent outings, Saarbrücken has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Duisburg shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Duisburg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Saarbrücken has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:22 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Saarbrücken against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	11	8	1	2	28:14	14	25
4	Saarbrucken	11	5	2	4	26:20	6	17

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Duisburg: 32.85% Saarbrucken: 6.23%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
10.10.26	Fortuna Köln - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Saarbrücken - Nancy	2:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Saarbrücken - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Preußen Münster - Saarbrücken	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWTL
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
10.10.26	Duisburg - Hoffenheim II	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	1:4 ✺
15.09.26	Duisburg - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Duisburg	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.03.26	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	4:2
30.09.25	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0
16.03.24	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	2:0
29.11.23	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0
21.05.23	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	2:2
14.01.23	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	2:3
23.01.22	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	3:4

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