Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Duisburg		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.18	3.3	3.05
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.24	3.46	3.35
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.16	3.42	3.13	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
42.6%

Draw
27.8%

Zwickau
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

25.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Duisburg - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Zwickau will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 1.

Duisburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zwickau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Duisburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
05.02.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Duisburg - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
23.01.23	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3 ✺
14.01.23	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.23	Paderborn - Duisburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLLWL
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
04.02.23	Zwickau - Meppen	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hallescher - Zwickau	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	1860 München - Zwickau	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Zwickau	0:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
13.01.23	Zwickau - Oldenburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.22	Zwickau - Duisburg	0:1
20.03.22	Duisburg - Zwickau	0:1
16.10.21	Zwickau - Duisburg	3:2
26.01.21	Zwickau - Duisburg	3:1
26.09.20	Duisburg - Zwickau	1:1
16.02.20	Zwickau - Duisburg	1:0
17.08.19	Duisburg - Zwickau	3:1

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