Match Info

3. Liga - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.02	3.45	3.35	Watch
	2.11	3.69	3.51
	1.93	3.64	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.3
	2.05	3.58	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	3.39 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
46.2%

Draw
26.4%

Duisburg
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rot-Weiß Essen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rot Weiß Essen - Duisburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rot-Weiß Essen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (G) 15. Huning B. 4. Schultz M. (C) 33. Kraulich T. 19. Bouebari F. 8. Gjasula K. 26. Musel T. 11. Abiama D. 24. Mizuta K. 14. Brumme L. 20. Janssen M.	1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 27. Coskun C. 6. Bulic R. 8. Casar A. 14. Noss C. 18. Meuer S. 37. Sussek P. 45. Lobinger L.
Substitutes
9. Cuber Potocnik J. 37. Hofmann J. 18. Kaiser N. 10. Obuz M. 16. Reisig R. 7. Safi R. 22. Schmidt D. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)	17. Gockan M. 20. Jessen N. 31. Kother D. 26. Kruger F. 19. Muller L. 24. Paris J. (G) 38. Sadlek G. E. 22. Topken T. 10. Viet C.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Schlicke B. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Mizuta K. ⚽, Brumme L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gjasula K. 🟨,
67', Sussek P. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
67', Meuer S. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
69', Abiama D. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
69', Janssen M. ↓, Cuber Potocnik J. ↑,
73', Bitter J. 🟨,
73', Casar A. 🟥,
78', Lobinger L. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
78', Coskun C. ↓, Viet C. ↑,
83', Mizuta K. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
84', Bulic R. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
88', Brumme L. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
89', Huning B. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4).

Rot-Weiß Essen has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Duisburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Duisburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	13	21
3	RW Essen	8	4	3	1	16:12	4	15

Last Results with these Odds

Rot-Weiß Essen - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.74%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Bochum - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:4 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
22.03.26	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Hoffenheim II - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:4 ✺
04.03.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWW
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
22.03.26	Duisburg - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hansa Rostock - Duisburg	5:1 ✺
08.03.26	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	4:2 ✺
04.03.26	Ingolstadt - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Duisburg - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
26.10.25	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1
07.04.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg	4:1
28.10.23	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2
05.02.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg	1:1
05.08.22	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2

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