Match Info

GERMANY: JUNIOREN BUNDESLIGA WEST - ROUND 8

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Duisburg U19		Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.7	1.75
	3.48	3.86	1.74
	3.6	3.75	1.7
	3.74	3.84	1.74
	3.65	3.7	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↓ (3.64)	3.77 ↓ (3.83)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg U19
24.8%

Draw
23.8%

Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

23.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

20.7%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg U19 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Duisburg U19 - Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg U19 won 3.

Duisburg U19 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Borussia U19 M is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Borussia U19 M is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Duisburg U19 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg U19 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duisburg U19
German Junioren Bundesliga West
01.10.23	Wuppertal U19 - Duisburg U19	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Duisburg U19 - Schalke U19	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Alemannia Aachen U19 - Duisburg U19	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Duisburg U19 - Bayer Leverkusen U19	1:3 ✺
23.08.23	Duisburg U19 - Paderborn U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach
German Junioren Bundesliga West
30.09.23	Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach - Paderborn U19	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach - Bochum U19	4:2 ✺
German DFB Junioren Pokal
03.09.23	Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach - Mainz U19	1:3 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga West
27.08.23	Köln U19 - Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga West
02.10.22	Duisburg U19 - Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach	3:1
23.10.21	Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach - Duisburg U19	2:0
27.10.19	Duisburg U19 - Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach	1:2
24.11.18	Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach - Duisburg U19	0:1
05.05.18	Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach - Duisburg U19	1:2
25.11.17	Duisburg U19 - Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach	2:0
30.04.17	Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach - Duisburg U19	2:1

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