Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	2.8	3.5	2.18
	2.56	3.9	2.36
	2.59	3.78	2.29
	3.4	3.5	1.91
	2.59	3.46	2.3
	2.8	3.5	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (4.16)	3.58 ↓ (3.86)	2.2 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
32.8%

Draw
25.5%

Dover Athletic
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

23.6%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

23.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dulwich Hamlet's performance.

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dover Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dulwich Hamlet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dover Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dulwich Hamlet - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Cocoracchio L. (Own goal),
45', 1 - 1, Soares Jr. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
67', 1 - 2, Nikaj G. ⚽,
74', 1 - 3, Matthews A. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 4, Soares Jr. R. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Dulwich is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dover is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dover is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.11.24	Cheshunt - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Hashtag United	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Potters Bar Town	3:1 ✺
05.11.24	Hendon - Dulwich Hamlet	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWL
- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.11.24	Dover Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:2 ✺
26.11.24	Lewes - Dover Athletic	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Dover Athletic - Canvey Island	3:2 ✺
09.11.24	Chatham Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.01.23	Dover Athletic - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2
26.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Dover Athletic	1:1

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