Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 14

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Margate		Lewes

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.88
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	3.39	3.93	1.9
	3.39	3.93	1.9
	3.38	3.62	1.89
	3.3	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.07)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	1.91 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Margate
27.4%

Draw
24.8%

Lewes
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

25.8%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

25.6%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Margate - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 16 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Margate won 0.

Margate is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lewes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lewes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lewes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Margate won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Margate won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.23	Margate - Hastings United	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Margate - Hashtag United	1:1 ✺
17.10.23	Margate - Chatham Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Harrow Borough - Margate	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Chesham United - Margate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLL
- Lewes FC
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Lewes	0:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.10.23	Carshalton Athletic - Lewes	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Lewes - Enfield Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Aldershot Town - Lewes	4:1 ✺
30.09.23	Lewes - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.04.23	Margate - Lewes	2:2
22.10.22	Lewes - Margate	2:0
29.03.22	Lewes - Margate	2:0
09.10.21	Margate - Lewes	2:6
10.10.20	Lewes - Margate	1:0
24.08.19	Margate - Lewes	2:0
23.01.19	Lewes - Margate	0:0

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