Match Info

League Two - Round 30

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton)


	Dumbarton		Annan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.5
	2.3	3.3	2.55
	2.38	3.45	2.62
	2.37	3.58	2.61
	2.43	3.42	2.61	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.63
	2.33	3.42	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)	3.42 ↓ (3.47)	2.58 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
38.4%

Draw
26.5%

Annan Athletic
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Annan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dumbarton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Dumbarton - Annan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dumbarton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Annan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Annan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rice A. (G) 4. Webster K. 5. Durnan M. (C) 3. Omar A. 24. Doyle M. 22. Smith A. 21. Honeyman S. 14. Livingstone A. 7. Tomlinson S. 27. Kirkpatrick K. 15. McIntosh L.	1. Albinson C. (G) 2. Hooper S. 5. Muir T. (C) 6. Watson K. 20. Carrick D. 4. Dixon J. 8. Smith P. 9. Smith A. 33. Gibson W. 10. Goss T. 15. Sowa J.
Substitutes
6. Blair R. 12. Brown A. 9. Duncan J. 16. Joseph T. 1. Long B. (G) 10. Roy A. 25. Walker G. 11. Wallace T.	12. Clarke G. (G) 19. Maxwell C. 7. McGowan P. 14. Muir R. 18. Mumbongo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Durnan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Honeyman S. ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, McIntosh L. ⚽, Smith A. (A),
73', Tomlinson S. 🟨,
74', Dixon J. ↓, McGowan P. ↑,
74', Smith P. ↓, Maxwell C. ↑,
75', Honeyman S. ↓, Blair R. ↑,
87', Tomlinson S. ↓, Duncan J. ↑,
87', McIntosh L. ↓, Roy A. ↑,
89', Doyle M. ↓, Wallace T. ↑,
89', Smith A. ↓, Walker G. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Watson K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 3.

Dumbarton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Annan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Dumbarton: 3.97% Annan: 2.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dumbarton	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12
9	Annan	9	3	0	6	9:11	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Dumbarton - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.07%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Annan Athletic - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish League Two
14.03.26	Elgin City - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Dumbarton - Stranraer	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Dumbarton - Spartans	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Stirling Albion - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Dumbarton - Clyde	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWTT
- Annan Athletic
Scottish League Two
14.03.26	Annan Athletic - Edinburgh City	3:0 ✺
10.03.26	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Annan Athletic - Stirling Albion	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Spartans - Annan Athletic	4:0 ✺
24.02.26	Stirling Albion - Annan Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
10.02.26	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	1:0
08.11.25	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	2:1
23.08.25	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	3:4
Scottish League One
26.04.25	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	3:1
08.02.25	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	2:1
14.12.24	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	1:5
14.09.24	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	1:1

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