Match Info

League Two - Round 25

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Stranraer FC LIVE


	Dumbarton		Stranraer

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.1
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.15	3.35	3
	2.13	3.49	3.18
	2.05	3.46	3.23	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.09	3.55	3.24
	2.62	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.47)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	2.94 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
41.6%

Draw
27%

Stranraer
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Dumbarton - Stranraer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dumbarton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Stranraer will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rice A. (G) 4. Webster K. 5. Durnan M. (C) 3. Omar A. 25. Walker G. 7. Tomlinson S. 8. Todd J. 22. Smith A. 14. Livingstone A. 21. Honeyman S. 15. McIntosh L.	1. Currie M. (G) 6. Docherty S. 5. McGrath J. 4. Reid L. (C) 3. Ecrepont F. 8. Quigg A. 21. Gillies M. 15. Hughes R. 17. McManus D. 24. Lang D. 52. Clelland D.
Substitutes
6. Blair R. 12. Brown A. 24. Doyle M. 9. Duncan J. 16. Joseph T. 27. Kirkpatrick K. 1. Long B. (G) 10. Roy A. 11. Wallace T.	22. Coll B. 7. Dolan J. 23. Hunter L. 10. McKnight K. 18. O'Donnell C. 16. Plank D. 31. Tas L. (G) 19. Turay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Durnan M. ⚽, Smith A. (A),
4', Ecrepont F. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Honeyman S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Gillies M. ↓, Plank D. ↑,
61', Hughes R. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
67', Tomlinson S. ↓, Doyle M. ↑,
67', Tomlinson S. 🟨,
67', Walker G. ↓, Kirkpatrick K. ↑,
68', Lang D. ↓, Turay S. ↑,
71', 🟨,
74', Kirkpatrick K. 🟨,
76', Docherty S. ↓, McKnight K. ↑,
76', Quigg A. ↓, Hunter L. ↑,
78', Honeyman S. ↓, Roy A. ↑,
88', Smith A. ↓, Duncan J. ↑,
88', Todd J. ↓, Joseph T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 1.

Dumbarton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stranraer has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dumbarton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Stranraer: 16.43% Dumbarton: 3.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stranraer	9	5	2	2	17:8	9	17
6	Dumbarton	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Dumbarton - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.88%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Stranraer - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.25%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish League Two
07.03.26	Dumbarton - Spartans	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Stirling Albion - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Dumbarton - Clyde	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	East Kilbride - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTLL
- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
07.03.26	Edinburgh City - Stranraer	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Stranraer - Elgin City	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Stranraer - Spartans	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Stranraer - Annan Athletic	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Stirling Albion - Stranraer	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
20.12.25	Stranraer - Dumbarton	1:1
27.09.25	Dumbarton - Stranraer	1:2
20.04.24	Stranraer - Dumbarton	0:0
05.03.24	Stranraer - Dumbarton	5:0
24.02.24	Dumbarton - Stranraer	2:1
30.09.23	Dumbarton - Stranraer	3:1
06.05.23	Dumbarton - Stranraer	1:1

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