Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Dumbarton		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2
	3.2	3.4	1.98
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.25	3.5	2.02
	3.28	3.62	2.07
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.38	3.64	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	3.48 ↑ (3.43)	2.02 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
28%

Draw
26.4%

Falkirk
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.5%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

17.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dumbarton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkirk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dumbarton - Falkirk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 1.

Dumbarton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Falkirk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Falkirk will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 34 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 7 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 32-68.

Including matches at home between the teams Dumbarton won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 10-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish League One
12.03.22	East Fife - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Dumbarton - Queens Park	0:3 ✺
26.02.22	Peterhead - Dumbarton	4:3 ✺
19.02.22	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Clyde - Dumbarton	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- Falkirk FC
Scottish League One
12.03.22	Falkirk - Airdrieonians	1:4 ✺
05.03.22	Clyde - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Falkirk - East Fife	3:1 ✺
22.02.22	Falkirk - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Cove Rangers - Falkirk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
08.01.22	Falkirk - Dumbarton	6:2
13.11.21	Dumbarton - Falkirk	0:3
18.09.21	Falkirk - Dumbarton	1:2
30.03.21	Falkirk - Dumbarton	1:1
24.11.20	Dumbarton - Falkirk	0:3
Scottish League Cup
10.11.20	Dumbarton - Falkirk	0:4
Scottish League One
04.01.20	Falkirk - Dumbarton	3:0

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