Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton)


	Dumbarton		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.15
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.9	3.25	2.18
	2.92	3.45	2.31
	2.93	3.46	2.3
	2.88	3.4	2.3
	2.83	3.6	2.22	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.51)	3.38 ↑ (3.37)	2.23 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
31.7%

Draw
27.2%

Alloa Athletic
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dumbarton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. O'Neil P. (G) 18. Webster K. 5. Durnan M. (C) 24. Clark C. 12. Pignatiello C. 17. Hilton J. 20. Niang M. 6. Blair R. 21. McGuffie C. 10. Gray F. 7. Orsi K.	31. Morrison P. (G) 17. Thomson K. 16. Dewar C. 6. Neill M. 2. Taggart S. 12. Scougall S. 22. Mullen R. 8. Roberts K. 20. O'Donnell C. 9. Donnelly L. 25. Gentles J.
Substitutes
14. Gilfedder A. 2. Lynas A. 31. Miller M. 9. Mumbongo J. 23. Ruth M. 13. Smallwood L. 8. Wilson D. 3. Young G.	27. Bruin L. 19. Buchanan S. 5. Graham A. 10. Honeyman S. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 24. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Hilton J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mullen R. ↓, Buchanan S. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Gentles J. ⚽,
72', Roberts K. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,
72', Hilton J. ↓, Ruth M. ↑,
81', Blair R. ↓, Mumbongo J. ↑,
87', Donnelly L. ↓, Rankin L. ↑,
87', Gentles J. ↓, Honeyman S. ↑,
90', Mumbongo J. 🟨,
90+2', Neill M. 🟨,
90+2', Durnan M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 2.

Recent matches Dumbarton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alloa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dumbarton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:23 (average 1.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Dumbarton won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:14 (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish League One
25.01.25	Queen of the South - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Dumbarton - Airdrieonians	1:5 ✺
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Inverness - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Montrose - Dumbarton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLWW
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
25.01.25	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Arbroath - Alloa Athletic	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Alloa Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
03.12.24	Alloa Athletic - Dumbarton	2:2
Scottish Cup
29.11.24	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	3:2
Scottish League One
10.08.24	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	3:3
02.04.22	Alloa Athletic - Dumbarton	2:3
19.02.22	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	1:2
20.11.21	Alloa Athletic - Dumbarton	1:2
25.09.21	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	1:1

Upcoming Matches