Match Info

League Two - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	SPFL Player


	Dumbarton		Stirling Albion

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.60	2.50
	2.25	3.40	2.55
	2.25	3.50	2.50
	2.38	3.61	2.62
	2.3	3.67	2.64	Watch
	2.35	3.55	2.55
	2.39	3.74	2.60
	2.30	3.60	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.26)	3.58 ↓ (3.62)	2.57 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
39.3%

Draw
25.4%

Stirling Albion
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

25.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

24%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Stirling Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Dumbarton - Stirling Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dumbarton will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Munn M. (G) 3. Omar A. 11. Sowa J. 15. McIntosh L. 5. Lang T. 17. Spalding A. 8. Todd J. 22. Turley F. 27. Kirkpatrick K. 24. Doyle M. (C) 34. Robson T.	27. Lyle C. (G) 2. Thomas M. 10. Roberts K. 14. Mullin J. (C) 4. Hamilton L. 23. Waugh K. 5. McNab R. 22. Hutchinson B. 26. Cameron Z. 30. Crane C. 25. Dobbie D.
Substitutes
20. Cleary R. 10. Craig D. 6. Hartington O. 21. Honeyman S. 9. Lang D. 28. Mcconnell J. (G) 7. Tomlinson S. 14. Wallace T. 4. Webster K.	29. Allan J. 6. Banner K. 16. Denham S. 17. Fyfe L. 15. Laird A. 9. McLean R. 1. McNeil A. (G) 19. Samuel E. 11. Wright H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Dobbie D. 🟨,
45+2', Lang T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Mullin J. ↓, Fyfe L. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Waugh K. ⚽,
70', Thomas M. 🟨,
71', Lang T. ↓, Lang D. ↑,
71', Spalding A. ↓, Webster K. ↑,
71', Turley F. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
78', Cameron Z. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Sowa J. ⚽,
82', Todd J. ↓, Honeyman S. ↑,
87', Cameron Z. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
90+2', Kirkpatrick K. 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 6th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Dumbarton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Dumbarton has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:19 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dumbarton against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 9:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dumbarton	11	4	1	6	12:18	-6	13
7	Stirling	11	3	3	5	14:24	-10	12

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Stirling: 5.34% Dumbarton: 2.65%

Last Results with these Odds

Dumbarton - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Stirling Albion - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.10.26	Clydebank - Dumbarton	4:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
10.10.26	Clyde - Dumbarton	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Dumbarton - Banks O Dee	3:2 ✺
22.09.26	Dumbarton - Kilmarnock 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW
- Stirling Albion
Scottish League Two
10.10.26	Stirling Albion - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Annan Athletic - Stirling Albion	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Fraserburgh - Stirling Albion	4:3 ✺
22.09.26	Stirling Albion - Cumbernauld Colts	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
19.09.26	Stirling Albion - Clyde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
01.08.26	Stirling Albion - Dumbarton	2:0
11.04.26	Dumbarton - Stirling Albion	2:1
28.02.26	Stirling Albion - Dumbarton	1:1
27.12.25	Dumbarton - Stirling Albion	1:2
04.10.25	Stirling Albion - Dumbarton	2:2
Scottish League Cup
15.07.25	Dumbarton - Stirling Albion	1:0
Scottish League One
11.05.24	Stirling Albion - Dumbarton	0:0

Upcoming Matches