Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton)


	Dumbarton		Banks O Dee

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	4.75
	1.62	3.90	4.10
	1.52	4.4	4.9
	1.58	4.67	5.36
	1.67	4.28	4.2	Watch
	1.43	4.6	5.3
	1.53	4.48	4.91
	1.49	4.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.8)	4.37 ↑ (4)	4.78 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
59.7%

Draw
21%

Banks O Dee
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

22.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

22%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dumbarton's performance.

Banks O Dee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banks O Dee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dumbarton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banks O Dee than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banks O Dee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dumbarton - Banks O Dee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Banks O Dee may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Dumbarton is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Dumbarton has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Dumbarton against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
26	Dumbarton	5	2	1	2	10:15	-5	7
31	Banks O' Dee	5	1	1	3	6:14	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish Challenge Cup
22.09.26	Dumbarton - Kilmarnock 2	3:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
19.09.26	Dumbarton - Spartans	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Stranraer - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Cove Rangers - Dumbarton	6:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
05.09.26	Dumbarton - Elgin City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLW
- Banks O Dee FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
22.09.26	Banks O Dee - Aberdeen 2	2:1 ✺
Scottish Highland League
19.09.26	Forres Mechanics - Banks O Dee	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Banks O Dee - Keith	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Nairn County - Banks O Dee	2:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Banks O Dee - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Cup
28.10.23	Dumbarton - Banks O Dee	3:2

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