Match Info
Challenge Cup - Round 4Date: 22 September 2026, TuesdayLocation: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton)
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Dumbarton |
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Kilmarnock 2 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.62 |
4 |
4.33 |
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1.49 |
4.20 |
4.75 |
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1.62 |
4.15 |
4.1 |
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1.61 |
4.3 |
4.36 |
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1.77 |
4.2 |
3.74 |
 Watch |
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1.59 |
4.2 |
4.15 |
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1.68 |
4.05 |
3.8 |
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1.61 |
4 |
4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.74) |
4.14 ↑
(3.81) |
4.15 ↑
(3.69) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dumbarton
56.1% | Draw
22% | Kilmarnock 2
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Kilmarnock 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Dumbarton - Kilmarnock 2 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dumbarton (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Dumbarton (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dumbarton will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dumbarton (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Foster L. ⚽, Bickerton C. (A),
- 43', McIntosh L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Lang D. ⚽, Honeyman S. (A),
- 62', 2 - 1, Sowa J. ⚽,
- 76', 3 - 1, Hartington O. ⚽,
- 86', 3 - 2, Margiotta R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In recent outings, Dumbarton has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Dumbarton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. Dumbarton is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Dumbarton has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
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| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
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