Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Dumiense		Brito

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.26
	2.76	3.32	2.3
	2.8	3.15	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.24)	3.29 ↓ (3.32)	2.31 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumiense
32.9%

Draw
27.7%

Brito
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dumiense's form might have worsened.

Brito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumiense than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dumiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brito than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dumiense - Brito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, ⚽,
70', 1 - 4, ⚽,
79', 1 - 5, ⚽,
85', 🟥,
85', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Dumiense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brito is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dumiense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Dumiense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumiense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.03.25	Dumiense - Atlético dos Arcos	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Tirsense - Dumiense	4:1 ✺
09.03.25	Dumiense - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Vianense - Dumiense	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Dumiense - Vila Real	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL
- Brito SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.03.25	Bragança - Brito	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Brito - Atlético dos Arcos	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Brito	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Brito - Tirsense	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Rebordosa - Brito	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.12.24	Brito - Dumiense	1:1
07.04.24	Dumiense - Brito	1:2
17.12.23	Brito - Dumiense	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.04.23	Dumiense - Brito	2:1
08.01.23	Brito - Dumiense	1:0

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