Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 17

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque de Jogos do Brito SC (Guimarães)


	Brito		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.98	2.82
	2.5	2.88	2.79
	2.49	2.97	2.82	Watch
	2.49	2.85	2.77
	2.45	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.25)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brito
36.8%

Draw
31%

Tirsense
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brito than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-2%)

Brito - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brito won 3.

Brito is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tirsense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Brito has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Brito won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Brito won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9
10	Brito	4	1	0	3	4:8	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Tirsense - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.01%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brito SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.01.26	Chaves B - Brito	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Brito - Limianos	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	Desportivo Monção - Brito	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Mirandela - Brito	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Celoricense - Brito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWWLW
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.01.26	Tirsense - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Vianense - Tirsense	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tirsense - Bragança	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Chaves B - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Tirsense - Limianos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.09.25	Tirsense - Brito	1:2
02.03.25	Brito - Tirsense	1:0
Taça de Portugal
24.11.24	Tirsense - Brito	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.11.24	Tirsense - Brito	3:1
25.02.24	Brito - Tirsense	2:0
01.11.23	Tirsense - Brito	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Tirsense - Brito	0:1

Upcoming Matches