Match Info

Liga 3 - Seria 5 - Round 7

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Dunărea Giurgiu		Progresul Mogoșoaia

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.70	3.70
	1.72	3.65	3.8
	1.73	3.92	3.87	Watch
	1.68	3.55	3.6
	1.8	4.25	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)	3.78 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunărea Giurgiu
52.3%

Draw
23.7%

Progresul Mogoșoaia
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

23.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunărea Giurgiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Progresul Mogoșoaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunărea Giurgiu than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresul Mogoșoaia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Dunărea Giurgiu - Progresul Mogoșoaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 8th in the Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Dunărea Giurgiu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Dunărea Giurgiu is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dunarea Giurgiu	7	3	4	0	12:7	5	13
5	Mogosoaia	8	3	3	2	11:12	-1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunărea Giurgiu
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 5
26.09.26	Omega Sport - Dunărea Giurgiu	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Alexandria - Dunărea Giurgiu	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Clinceni - Dunărea Giurgiu	1:3 ✺
Romanian Cup
12.08.26	Dunărea Giurgiu - Steaua București	0:3 ✺
05.08.26	Dunărea Giurgiu - Cetatea Turnu Măgurele	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 48.7 TTWLW
- Progresul Mogoșoaia
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 5
26.09.26	Progresul Mogoșoaia - Cetatea Turnu Măgurele	3:3 ✺
23.09.26	Omega Sport - Progresul Mogoșoaia	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Progresul Mogoșoaia - Dinamo Bucureşti II	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Progresul Spartac Bucuresti - Progresul Mogoșoaia	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Progresul Mogoșoaia - Voluntari II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLWW

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