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Current Win Probability
St Patricks Athletic 39.6%
Draw 29.4%
Shamrock Rovers 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
28.4%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
27%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Patricks Athletic's form might have worsened.
Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shamrock Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
62.5%
0%
St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - St Patricks (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Anang J. (G) 7. Elbouzedi Z. 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 24. Turner L. 11. McClelland J. 48. Sheridan R. 6. Lennon J. 19. Baggley B. 27. Edmondson R. 9. Keena A.
1. McGinty E. (G) 22. Sobowale T. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 3. Matthews A. 7. Watts D. 8. Healy M. 29. Byrne J. 24. Fitzgerald W. 31. Noonan M. 10. Burke G.
Substitutes
3. Breslin A. 23. Brown J. 8. Forrester C. 33. McHale S. 16. Nugent D. 21. Olusanya A. 17. Palmer R. 1. Rogers D. (G) 35. Rooney S.
18. Afolabi J. 19. Brennan A. 6. Cleary D. 9. Greene A. 88. McGovern J. 11. Mulraney J. 27. O'Sullivan C. 26. O'Sullivan J. 25. Steacy L. (G)
Coaches
Kenny S.
Bradley S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, McClelland J. ⚽, Lennon J. (A),
32', Lopes R. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Keena A. ⚽, Elbouzedi Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sobowale T. ↓, Brennan A. ↑,
50', Sheridan R. 🟨,
56', Byrne J. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
67', Edmondson R. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
67', Cleary D. ↓, Afolabi J. ↑,
67', Keena A. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
68', Noonan M. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
68', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, Palmer R. ↑,
72', Sheridan R. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
73', Burke G. ↓, O'Sullivan C. ↑,
79', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
80', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 2.
St Patricks has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shamrock is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
St Patricks could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in St Patricks: Boyce R.
(Injury)
Power S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Shamrock: Grant D.
(Muscle Injury)
Mandroiu D.
(Inactive)
Ozhianvuna V.
(Knock)
There are questionable in St Patricks: Mata M. A.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
Ireland
United-kingdom
Usa
World
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Anang J. (G) 
Elbouzedi Z. 
Baggley B. 
Edmondson R. 
Lopes R. (C) 
Matthews A. 
Olusanya A. 
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