Match Info
FAI Cup - 1/8-finalsDate: 16 August 2026, SundayLocation: Richmond Park (Dublin)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Ireland | RTE 2, RTE Player |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 World | LOI TV |
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St Patricks Athletic |
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Shamrock Rovers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.85 |
3.30 |
3.60 |
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 |
1.88 |
3.25 |
3.55 |
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 |
1.94 |
3.4 |
4.11 |
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 |
1.91 |
3.44 |
3.91 |
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 |
1.89 |
3.3 |
4.05 |
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 |
1.9 |
3.23 |
4.26 |
Watch |
 |
1.88 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.4) |
3.32 ↑
(3.2) |
3.85 ↑
(2.62) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St Patricks Athletic
48.5% | Draw
27.7% | Shamrock Rovers
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Patricks Athletic's performance.Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shamrock Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Patricks Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shamrock Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
94.  Anang J. (G)
24.  Turner L.
2. Hoare S.
4. Redmond J. (C)
23. Brown J.
21.  Olusanya A.
10. Leavy K.
6. Lennon J.
11. McClelland J.
8. Forrester C.
9. Keena A.
| 1. McGinty E. (G)
17. O'Regan L.
5. Grace L. (C)
22. Sobowale T.
27. O'Sullivan C.
19. Brennan A.
26. O'Sullivan J.
14. Mandroiu D.
31. Noonan M.
18. Afolabi J.
29. Byrne J.
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| Substitutes |
19.  Baggley B.
3. Breslin A.
27.  Edmondson R.
7. Elbouzedi Z.
16. Nugent D.
25. Power S.
1. Rogers D. (G)
35. Rooney S.
48. Sheridan R.
| 15. Asamoah M.
24. Fitzgerald W.
9. Greene A.
34. Mahon B.
23. Malley C.
2.  Matthews A.
41. Noonan A. (G)
3. Stevens E.
7. Watts D.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', O'Sullivan J. 🟨,
- 25', Turner L. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Afolabi J. ⚽,
- 44', Lennon J. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Noonan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Brown J. ↓, Elbouzedi Z. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Turner L. ⚽,
- 56', 🟨,
- 59', O'Regan L. ↓, Fitzgerald W. ↑,
- 60', Afolabi J. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
- 64', Olusanya A. ↓, Edmondson R. ↑,
- 64', McClelland J. ↓, Power S. ↑,
- 73', Mandroiu D. ↓, Watts D. ↑,
- 73', O'Sullivan J. ↓, Malley C. ↑,
- 75', Leavy K. ↓, Sheridan R. ↑,
- 83', 🟨,
- 83', Brennan A. ↓, Stevens E. ↑,
- 87', Forrester C. ↓, Rooney S. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Keena A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', 🟨,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 95', 3 - 2, Rooney S. ⚽,
- 101', Malley C. ↓, Mahon B. ↑,
- 106', 🟨,
- 112', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 1.St Patricks has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Shamrock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).St Patricks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Irish Premier Division | | | 29.05.26 | Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic | 1:0 | | 10.04.26 | St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers | 0:1 | | 20.02.26 | Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic | 2:0 | | 17.10.25 | St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers | 1:0 | | 19.05.25 | Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic | 4:0 | | 18.04.25 | St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers | 2:2 | | 07.03.25 | Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic | 1:0 |
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