Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 24

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Newington		Dundela

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.05	4.35
	1.61	4.05	4.16
	1.62	4.24	4.27	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.33
	1.66	4.27	4.27
	1.63	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.43)	4.04 ↓ (4.86)	4.23 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newington
55.9%

Draw
22.6%

Dundela
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.9%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

18%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newington's form might have worsened.

Dundela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Newington - Dundela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newington won 1.

Recent performances by Newington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dundela is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Newington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Newington is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Newington won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Newington won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newington	10	6	2	2	24:18	6	20
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	18:20	-2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
03.02.26	Ards - Newington	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newington	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Annagh United - Newington	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Newington - Ards	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
13.01.26	Glenavon - Newington	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Dundela
Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Armagh City - Dundela	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Dundela - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Institute FC - Dundela	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Dundela - Loughgall	0:3 ✺
27.12.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Dundela	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
15.11.25	Newington - Dundela	2:2
11.10.25	Dundela - Newington	1:0
29.03.25	Dundela - Newington	1:3
16.11.24	Dundela - Newington	3:1
28.09.24	Newington - Dundela	1:1
23.03.24	Newington - Dundela	1:3
04.11.23	Dundela - Newington	4:2

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