Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 25

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Institute FC		Dundela

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.05	4.25
	1.64	4	4.37	Watch
	1.61	4.26	4.68
	1.6	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	4.03 ↑ (3.84)	4.45 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Institute FC
56.5%

Draw
22.8%

Dundela
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

19.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Institute FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Dundela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Institute FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dundela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Institute FC - Dundela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Institute won 1.

Institute is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dundela has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Institute is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Institute won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Institute won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20:17	3	16
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	18:20	-2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Institute FC
Northern Irish Cup
13.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.25	Institute FC - Newington	3:3 ✺
26.12.25	Limavady United - Institute FC	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Queens University Belfast - Institute FC	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Institute FC - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLL
- Dundela
Northern Irish Championship
13.01.26	Dundela - Loughgall	0:3 ✺
27.12.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Dundela	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dundela - Ards	1:4 ✺
13.12.25	Annagh United - Dundela	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Dundela - Armagh City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
18.10.25	Institute FC - Dundela	1:1
13.09.25	Dundela - Institute FC	2:2
22.02.25	Dundela - Institute FC	1:3
01.02.25	Dundela - Institute FC	4:3
17.08.24	Institute FC - Dundela	2:2
06.04.24	Dundela - Institute FC	3:4
17.02.24	Institute FC - Dundela	2:4

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