Match Info

NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Dundela		Warrenpoint Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.35	2.62
	2.33	3.27	2.57
	2.39	3.46	2.63	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.6
	2.35	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.39)	3.3 ↓ (3.46)	2.6 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundela
37.9%

Draw
27.4%

Warrenpoint Town
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Dundela - Warrenpoint Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundela won 3.

In recent matches, Dundela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Warrenpoint Town is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dundela won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundela won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrenpoint	10	4	2	4	18:15	3	14
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	18:20	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Dundela - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundela
Northern Irish Championship
04.04.26	Ards - Dundela	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Dundela - Institute FC	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Annagh United - Dundela	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Dundela - Ards	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Dundela	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLTTL
- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
04.04.26	Institute FC - Warrenpoint Town	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Armagh City	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Annagh United	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Newington	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
21.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Dundela	5:2
22.11.25	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	3:2
08.04.23	Warrenpoint Town - Dundela	1:1
04.03.23	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	2:1
29.10.22	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	1:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	4:0

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