Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 32

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Dundela		Ards

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.7	1.82
	3.53	3.6	1.83
	3.61	3.74	1.84	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.8
	3.85	3.62	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (4.37)	3.63 ↓ (3.96)	1.81 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundela
25.1%

Draw
24.9%

Ards
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

23.1%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ards might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ards could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dundela - Ards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Dundela is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundela won 3.

Dundela has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ards is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dundela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ards is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Dundela won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:35. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundela won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 1.4:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	18:20	-2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundela
Northern Irish Championship
10.03.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Dundela	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	Dundela - Limavady United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Dundela	5:2 ✺
14.02.26	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	1:4 ✺
07.02.26	Newington - Dundela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLL
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
10.03.26	Loughgall - Ards	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Annagh United - Ards	3:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ards - Limavady United	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ards - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Queens University Belfast - Ards	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
20.12.25	Dundela - Ards	1:4
29.08.25	Ards - Dundela	1:0
19.04.25	Dundela - Ards	1:0
31.12.24	Ards - Dundela	1:3
19.10.24	Dundela - Ards	1:0
07.09.24	Ards - Dundela	0:1
02.03.24	Dundela - Ards	4:0

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