Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Ards		Warrenpoint Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.8
	1.4	5.15	5.5
	1.47	4.5	4.87
	1.4	5.12	5.65	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.44	4.85	5.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.7)	4.59 ↑ (3.91)	5.29 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
62.6%

Draw
20%

Warrenpoint Town
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

23.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

22.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ards's performance.

Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrenpoint Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ards that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Ards - Warrenpoint Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ards (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

Ards is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Warrenpoint Town is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 2.

Ards is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Warrenpoint Town has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ards is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ards won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrenpoint	10	4	2	4	18:15	3	14
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
14.03.26	Dundela - Ards	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Loughgall - Ards	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Annagh United - Ards	3:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ards - Limavady United	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ards - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWLWW
- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
14.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Annagh United	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Newington	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Institute FC	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Annagh United - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
26.12.25	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	0:0
11.04.23	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	1:0
21.01.23	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	3:5
26.11.22	Warrenpoint Town - Ards	1:4
03.09.22	Warrenpoint Town - Ards	2:1
Northern Irish Premiership
27.04.19	Warrenpoint Town - Ards	1:1
16.03.19	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	0:1

Ards - Warrenpoint Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide