Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dunkerque		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.20	Watch
	1.83	3.50	4.10
	1.85	3.50	4.10	Watch
	1.86	3.56	4.62
	1.83	3.63	4.13	Watch
	1.81	3.50	4.55
	1.83	3.40	4.39	Watch
	1.83	3.40	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.98)	3.47 ↑ (3.42)	4.29 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
51.2%

Draw
27%

Clermont
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Dunkerque - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Clermont will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Clermont (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Clermont (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
73. Moha (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 22. Mayela V. 24. Vallier L. 6. Morel J. 18. Massock T. 7. Ayari K. 10. Lebeau A. 11. Prutsev E. 94. Mayilla E.	30. Guivarch T. (G) 93. Coulibaly I. 21. Salmier Y. (C) 4. Kabeya E. 12. Nsimba V. 5. Grillot J. 17. Diop O. 23. Hunou A. 13. Astic J. 18. Strotz N. 90. Okou C.
Substitutes
25. Atoen F. 17. Dieng P. M. 21. Dziki Loussilaho L. 19. Keita S. 4. Lagae B. 33. Nemorin N. 15. N'Zonzi S. 36. Sissokho M. (G) 2. Toure O.	7. Bianchini F. 77. Cantero E. 6. Kone E. H. 26. Kouame R. 28. M'Bahia I. 16. N'Diaye M. (G) 39. Nyindong Tsamouna J. 29. Saintorens A. 10. Sambia J.
Coaches
Sanchez A.	Guion D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Astic J. 🟨,
36', Diop O. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Sangante O. ⚽, Lebeau A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Guion D. 🟨,
57', Mayilla E. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
61', Hunou A. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
61', Strotz N. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
61', Astic J. ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Okou C. ⚽, Nsimba V. (A),
70', Prutsev E. ↓, Dieng P. M. ↑,
75', Diop O. ↓, Cantero E. ↑,
79', Massock T. 🟨,
81', Ayari K. ↓, Lagae B. ↑,
81', Morel J. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
90', Okou C. ↓, Nyindong Tsamouna J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2.

Dunkerque is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Clermont has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Clermont has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dunkerque is the team to beat.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Makhloufi M. (Inactive) N'Zonzi S. (Inactive) Prevot M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Clermont: Baallal A. (Inactive) Bellache Y. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Inactive) Pelmard A. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Dunkerque: 0.75% Clermont: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	4:6	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Clermont - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
28.08.26	Nancy - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Reims - Dunkerque	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Dunkerque - Grenoble	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	KV Mechelen - Dunkerque	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLTW?
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
28.08.26	Clermont - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Clermont - Dijon	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Clermont - Reims	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Clermont - Grenoble	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
27.02.26	Clermont - Dunkerque	2:1
09.08.25	Dunkerque - Clermont	2:2
21.02.25	Dunkerque - Clermont	3:0
13.09.24	Clermont - Dunkerque	0:1
16.01.21	Clermont - Dunkerque	5:0
29.08.20	Dunkerque - Clermont	1:1

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