Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)


	Martigues		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.64	3.71	5.63
	1.65	3.71	5.63
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.64	3.64	5.22	Watch
	1.61	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	3.64 ↑ (3.58)	5.28 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
57.3%

Draw
25.3%

Villefranche
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

25.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Martigues - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: Martigues will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Aymes J. (G) 5. Calvet R. 19. Cervantes N. 22. Djaha A. 13. Hemia A. 27. Ipiele A. 28. Kadir F. 24. Morante L. 7. Orinel O. 10. Tlili K. 8. Zouaoui Y.	1. Pean S. (G) 19. Ba I. 10. Blanc M. 13. Camara B. 6. Da Silva C. 31. Domingos B. S. 15. Emmanuelli T. 8. Louzif M. 4. Moussadek D. 20. Sergio R. 11. Sidibe O.
Substitutes
11. Diawara A. 21. Hadjem Y. 6. Kembolo F. 12. Robin M. 4. Soilihi A.	18. Abanda Mfomo D. 24. Bendaoud S. 22. Dos Santos L. 23. Mai D. 12. M'Buyi C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Louzif M. 🟨,
39', Orinel O. 🟨,
39', Ba I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Kadir F. 🟨,
63', Cervantes N. ↓, Diawara A. ↑,
66', Ba I. ↓, M'Buyi C. ↑,
71', M'Buyi C. 🟨,
72', Orinel O. ↓, Kembolo F. ↑,
72', Kadir F. ↓, Robin M. ↑,
76', Blanc M. ↓, Abanda Mfomo D. ↑,
76', Sidibe O. ↓, Mai D. ↑,
77', Morante L. 🟨,
77', Calvet R. 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Diawara A. ⚽, Ipiele A. (A),
83', Ipiele A. ↓, Hadjem Y. ↑,
90', Domingos B. S. ↓, Bendaoud S. ↑,
90', Louzif M. ↓, Dos Santos L. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 11).

Recent matches Martigues is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villefranche is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villefranche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Martigues is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Martigues won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 3
29.03.24	Châteauroux - Martigues	1:0 ✺
22.03.24	Martigues - Avranches	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Le Mans - Martigues	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Martigues - Rouen FC	3:1 ✺
01.03.24	Martigues - Épinal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
30.03.24	Villefranche - Sochaux	2:2 ✺
26.03.24	Avranches - Villefranche	1:3 ✺
22.03.24	GOAL FC - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
18.03.24	Villefranche - Red Star	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Rouen FC - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
03.11.23	Villefranche - Martigues	0:1
20.02.23	Martigues - Villefranche	2:2
09.09.22	Villefranche - Martigues	1:1
Club Friendly
24.07.20	Villefranche - Martigues	1:2

Martigues - Villefranche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide