Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Duque de Caxias		Campo Grande

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	1.98	3	3.6
	2.04	3.03	3.47
	2.13	2.89	3.67	Watch
	2.12	3	3.62
	2.05	2.92	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.42)	2.96 ↓ (3)	3.53 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duque de Caxias
43.7%

Draw
30.6%

Campo Grande
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duque de Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Duque de Caxias's performance.

Campo Grande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Campo Grande might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duque de Caxias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campo Grande than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campo Grande could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Duque de Caxias - Campo Grande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Carioca B1
27.09.25	Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Duque de Caxias - Artsul	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Serrano FC - Duque de Caxias	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Duque de Caxias - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
13.08.25	Madureira - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWW
- Campo Grande AC
Brazilian Carioca B1
27.09.25	São Cristóvão - Campo Grande	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Campo Grande - Bonsucesso	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Artsul - Campo Grande	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Campo Grande - Serrano FC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
20.08.25	Bangu - Campo Grande	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTWTL

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