The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Durban City 17.3%
Draw 30.8%
Orlando Pirates 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
31%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
30.1%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Durban City - Orlando Pirates Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Keet D. (G) 4. Gcaba F. 5. Ncanana S. (C) 30. Mkhize M. 23. Mashego T. 17. Jurgens K. 8. Jodwana A. 7. Domingo H. 15. Mokwena B. 10. Maseko S. 20. Lwamba J.
24. Chaine S. (G) 37. Lebitso T. 5. Sibisi N. (C) 44. Mbokazi M. 3. Ndaba N. 16. Mbatha T. 15. Nemtajela M. 38. Mofokeng R. 28. Maswanganyi P. 11. Moremi T. 17. Makgopa E.
Substitutes
22. De Kock L. 34. Dreyer A. (G) 27. Goedeman T. 14. Kamatuka J. 19. Koapeng L. 11. Magawana S. 26. Nodada T. 13. Nyulu O. 35. Sifumba L.
12. Appollis O. 35. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 18. Dlamini K. 7. Hotto D. 8. Makhaula M. 23. Mbule S. 9. Mbuthuma Y. 6. Ndah O. 21. van Rooyen D.
Coaches
Hunt G.
Ouaddou A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Makgopa E. ⚽, Mofokeng R. (A),
29', Nemtajela M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nemtajela M. ↓, Makhaula M. ↑,
53', Lwamba J. 🟨,
61', Mokwena B. ↓, Koapeng L. ↑,
61', Lwamba J. ↓, Kamatuka J. ↑,
65', Moremi T. ↓, Appollis O. ↑,
65', Makgopa E. ↓, Mbuthuma Y. ↑,
72', Ndaba N. 🟨,
73', Kamatuka J. ↓, Magawana S. ↑,
75', Maswanganyi P. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Maswanganyi P. ⚽, Appollis O. (A),
79', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Dlamini K. ↑,
82', Ncanana S. 🟨,
87', Gcaba F. ↓, Nyulu O. ↑,
87', Maseko S. ↓, Sifumba L. ↑,
88', Lebitso T. ↓, van Rooyen D. ↑,
90+5', Ncanana S. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durban City won 1.
Durban City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Orlando Pirates is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Orlando Pirates is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Durban City won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Durban City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).