The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Durban City 38.3%
Draw 34.6%
Supersport United 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
34.1%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
35.8%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Supersport United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Supersport United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
54.5%
9.1%
Durban City - Supersport United Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Durban City will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Supersport United will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
Maritzburg United has the most likely position - 14 (9.69%), has project points - 35, has currently - 9, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of qualify for ccl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Supersport United has the most likely position - 2 (11.96%), has project points - 44, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of qualify for ccl (16%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
This event has small quality14, importance35, small match rating24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Maritzburg United won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Supersport United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Maritzburg United will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 24 head-to-head matches Maritzburg United won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 21-31.
Including matches at home between the teams Maritzburg United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7-15.