Match Info

ENGLAND: Women’s Championship - Round 10

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Maiden Castle (Durham)


	Durham		London City Lionesses

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.35
	2.56	3.25	2.4
	2.63	3.37	2.43	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.61	3.28	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.98)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)	2.37 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Durham
34.5%

Draw
27.5%

London City Lionesses
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

27.3%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

London City Lionesses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durham than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London City Lionesses than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that London City Lionesses could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Durham - London City Lionesses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saunders T. (G) 2. Ayre G. 10. Blake H. 3. Briggs L. 12. Crosthwaite L. 20. Foster M. 7. Hepple B. 9. Johns C. 8. Lambert M. 14. Salicki B. 5. Wilson S. (C)	1. Moloney G. (G) 33. Boye-Hlorkah C. 4. Brougham G. (C) 22. Brown C. 17. Fitzgerald L. 5. Goldie T. 23. Goodwin I. 15. Jakobsson S. 13. Meyong C. 3. Mukandi E. 20. Wilde M.
Substitutes
16. Bradley D. 4. Bramley O. 24. Holmes A. 13. King A. (G) 17. Novak K. 22. Ryan-Doyle E. 19. Wilson E.	6. Campbell M. 25. Imuran R. 11. Ivanovic M. 31. Littlejohn R. 7. Mengyu Shen 10. Merashi G. 2. Neville G. 32. Orman E. (G) 8. Scofield C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Johns C. ⚽, Lambert M. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Goodwin I. ⚽, Jakobsson S. (A),
45+4', 2 - 1, Lambert M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wilde M. ↓, Campbell M. ↑,
56', 3 - 1, Hepple B. (Pen),
64', Fitzgerald L. ↓, Mengyu Shen ↑,
69', Mukandi E. ↓, Imuran R. ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Goodwin I. ⚽,
83', Meyong C. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
83', Brown C. ↓, Neville G. ↑,
84', Blake H. ↓, Novak K. ↑,
90+4', Johns C. ↓, Bradley D. ↑,
90+4', Salicki B. ↓, Holmes A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Durham won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Lionesses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Durham have a series of guest games.

Lionesses will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Durham won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:7 (average 1.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Durham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.4:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durham WFC
English WSL 2
10.11.24	Southampton - Durham	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Blackburn Rovers - Durham	2:3 ✺
20.10.24	Durham - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Newcastle United - Durham	0:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
02.10.24	Blackburn Rovers - Durham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLWW
- London City Lionesses
English WSL 2
10.11.24	London City Lionesses - Birmingham City LFC	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Sheffield United - London City Lionesses	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	London City Lionesses - Charlton Athletic	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	London City Lionesses - Portsmouth	5:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
03.10.24	Southampton - London City Lionesses	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
18.02.24	London City Lionesses - Durham	2:2
17.09.23	Durham - London City Lionesses	1:0
26.03.23	Durham - London City Lionesses	3:0
25.09.22	London City Lionesses - Durham	3:0
06.02.22	London City Lionesses - Durham	1:2
31.10.21	Durham - London City Lionesses	1:0
28.02.21	London City Lionesses - Durham	0:1

Durham - London City Lionesses: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide