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Current Win Probability
Blackburn Rovers 20.6%
Draw 25.4%
Durham 54%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
27.4%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
26.3%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durham than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Blackburn Rovers - Durham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Soper P. (G) 7. Crompton F. 42. Dahou J. 6. Hack E. 3. Luke H. 2. Murphy N. 8. Noble E. 5. Taylor E. 4. Toland T. (C) 23. Walters G. 10. Williams C.
1. Saunders T. (G) 2. Ayre G. 16. Bradley D. 3. Briggs L. 12. Crosthwaite L. 20. Foster M. 7. Hepple B. 8. Lambert M. 22. Ryan-Doyle E. 14. Salicki B. 5. Wilson S. (C)
Substitutes
1. Brooks A. (G) 43. Coulthard F. 9. Edwards M. 46. Howard O. (G) 19. Mason B. . Primmer T. 30. Waine A.
10. Blake H. 4. Bramley O. 24. Holmes A. 9. Johns C. 13. King A. (G) 17. Novak K. 19. Wilson E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Crompton F. ⚽,
45+3', Dahou J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Bradley D. ↓, Blake H. ↑,
46', Ryan-Doyle E. ↓, Johns C. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Hepple B. ⚽,
53', Crompton F. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Briggs L. ⚽,
69', Crompton F. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Foster M. ⚽,
78', Noble E. ↓, Primmer T. ↑,
83', Briggs L. 🟨,
85', Ayre G. ↓, Holmes A. ↑,
88', Briggs L. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 0.
Blackburn has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Durham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Durham is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Durham to win the game is with odds 1.83.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 14:29 (average 1:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Blackburn won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:15 (average 1:2.1).