Match Info

3. Liga - Round 33

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, NDR Fernsehen
Serbia	SportKlub 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Dynamo Dresden		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.9	3.4
	1.77	3.9	4
	1.88	3.85	3.55
	1.86	3.87	3.72	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.8
	1.81	3.78	3.77	Watch
	1.88	3.85	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)	3.81 ↓ (3.92)	3.68 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
50.5%

Draw
24.3%

Osnabrück
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23.1%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Dynamo Dresden - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Osnabrück will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 15. Kammerknecht C. 23. Bunning L. 16. Heise P. 17. Casar A. 29. Boeder L. 21. Meissner R. 22. Baur M. 11. Kother D. 30. Kutschke S. (C)	21. Jonsson L. (G) 29. Niehoff N. 4. Gyamfi M. 24. Muller J. (C) 39. Karademir Y. 44. Kolle N. 27. Henning B. 6. Amoako K. J. 48. Kayo B. 18. Kehl L. 19. Muller M.
Substitutes
6. Berger T. 33. Daferner C. 27. Hauptmann N. 39. Kubatta D. 10. Lemmer J. 26. Marx J. H. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 25. Oehmichen J.	5. Ajdini B. 37. Badjie I. 36. Boggemann L. (G) 26. Gnaase D. 10. Manu B. M. 7. Simakala B. 8. Tesche R. 25. Wiemann N. 11. Zwarts J.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Antwerpen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Muller J. 🟨,
19', Muller M. 🟨,
25', Boeder L. 🟨,
42', Kutschke S. 🟨,
45', Kolle N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Kutschke S. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
57', Boeder L. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
59', Gyamfi M. 🟨,
61', Muller M. ↓, Zwarts J. ↑,
65', Baur M. ↓, Hauptmann N. ↑,
67', Karademir Y. 🟨,
71', Kehl L. ↓, Gnaase D. ↑,
72', Niehoff N. ↓, Manu B. M. ↑,
76', Meissner R. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
76', Kother D. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
78', Amoako K. J. ↓, Tesche R. ↑,
78', Kolle N. ↓, Wiemann N. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Wiemann N. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 3.

Dynamo Dresden is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Osnabrück is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osnabrück could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Lehmann P. (Back Injury)

Our prediction for today's Dynamo Dresden to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:12 (average 1.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Dresden won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:6 (average 2.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
09.04.25	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Hannover II - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
30.03.25	Dynamo Dresden - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Dynamo Dresden - Teplice	3:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWWT
- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
09.04.25	Osnabrück - Hansa Rostock	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Osnabrück - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Osnabrück - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.11.24	Osnabrück - Dynamo Dresden	0:3
02.04.23	Osnabrück - Dynamo Dresden	0:1
09.10.22	Dynamo Dresden - Osnabrück	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
28.06.20	Dynamo Dresden - Osnabrück	2:2
15.12.19	Osnabrück - Dynamo Dresden	3:0
German 3 Bundesliga
02.03.16	Osnabrück - Dynamo Dresden	0:3
19.09.15	Dynamo Dresden - Osnabrück	2:1

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