Match Info

3. Liga - Round 22

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Germany	Magenta Sport, NDR Fernsehen, SR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	Onefootball


	Saarbrücken		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.65
	2.32	3.35	2.82	Watch
	2.35	3.51	3
	2.25	3.67	2.84	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.75
	2.2	3.34	2.9	Watch
	2.22	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)	3.41 ↓ (3.52)	2.84 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
40.5%

Draw
27.1%

Osnabrück
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

26.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Saarbrücken - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Osnabrück will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osnabrück: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Saarbrücken (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Saarbrücken (votes: 2 - 50%). Osnabrück (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Menzel P. (G) 30. Baumann D. 32. Bormuth R. 28. Bretschneider N. 23. Civeja T. 5. Krahn E. 20. Pick F. 7. Rizzuto C. 6. Sontheimer P. (C) 19. Vasiliadis S. 18. Wilhelm L.	21. Jonsson L. (G) 3. Christensen F. 15. Jacobsen B. 31. Kammerbauer P. 9. Kania J. 4. Karademir Y. 18. Kehl L. 11. Meissner R. 24. Muller J. 25. Wiemann N. 19. Wiethaup K.
Substitutes
27. Bichsel J. 22. Caliskaner K. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 2. Fahrner P. 26. Groune A. 15. Kamara A. 1. Paterok T. (G) 10. Rabihic K. 39. Schmidt P.	6. Henning B. 14. Ihorst L. 20. Janotta T. 23. Lesueur T. 10. Proger K. 1. Sauter N. (G) 8. Tesche R. 26. Wagner F.
Coaches
Luginger J.	Schultz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Wiemann N. ⚽, Kehl L. (A),
18', Karademir Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Vasiliadis S. ↓, Caliskaner K. ↑,
58', Civeja T. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
59', Kania J. ↓, Badjie I. ↑,
73', Sontheimer P. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
78', Kehl L. ↓, Lesueur T. ↑,
78', Wiethaup K. ↓, Wagner F. ↑,
84', Bretschneider N. ↓, Groune A. ↑,
90', Kammerbauer P. ↓, Proger K. ↑,
90', Meissner R. ↓, Janotta T. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 0.

Saarbrücken is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Osnabrück has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Saarbrücken may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Saarbrücken won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Saarbrucken	8	4	2	2	19:12	7	14

Last Results with these Odds

Saarbrücken - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.01%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
23.01.26	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Saarbrücken - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hansa Rostock - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Saarbrücken - Hoffenheim II	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTTL
- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
25.01.26	Osnabrück - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Alemannia Aachen - Osnabrück	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Osnabrück - VfB Stuttgart II	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Osnabrück - Saarbrücken	2:0
05.04.25	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	1:1
26.10.24	Osnabrück - Saarbrücken	1:1
04.03.23	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	1:2
27.08.22	Osnabrück - Saarbrücken	2:2
15.01.22	Osnabrück - Saarbrücken	2:1
31.07.21	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	1:2

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