Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Superbet Arena - Giulesti (Bucharest)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Dynamo Kyiv		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.85
	3.8	3.55	1.92
	3.8	3.6	1.95
	4	3.66	1.91
	3.84	3.74	1.88	Watch
	3.95	3.6	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.8)	3.63 ↑ (3.25)	1.91 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
24.6%

Draw
26%

Beşiktaş
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Kyiv's form might have worsened.

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	16.7%	76.7%

Dynamo Kyiv - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Dynamo will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bushchan G. (G) 24. Tymchyk O. 4. Popov D. 34. Syrota O. 44. Dubinchak V. 20. Karavaev O. 5. Sydorchuk S. (C) 10. Shaparenko M. 91. Voloshyn N. 29. Buyalskyy V. 11. Vanat V.	34. Gunok M. (C) 24. Rosier V. 12. Amartey D. 6. Colley O. 26. Masuaku A. 19. Hadziahmetovic A. 8. Ucan S. 83. Fernandes G. 4. Bulut O. 10. Aboubakar V. 40. Muleka J.
Substitutes
77. Benito 40. Bilovar K. 6. Brazhko V. 30. Diallo S. 25. Dyachuk M. 23. Malysh N. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 9. Parris K. 92. Ramadani R. 8. Shepelev V. 37. Tsarenko A. 2. Vivcharenko K.	1. Destanoglu E. (G) 23. Kayra Yilmaz K. 77. Meras U. 71. Onana J. 15. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 11. Rashica M. 7. Rebic A. 21. Tiknaz D. E. 9. Tosun C. 20. Uysal N. 97. Yuvakuran U. (G) 22. Zaynutdinov B.
Coaches
Lucescu M.	Gunes S.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Recent matches Dynamo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Beşiktaş is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Beşiktaş could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Beşiktaş will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dynamo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
20.08.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Dynamo Kyiv	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Aris	3:1 penalties ✺
10.08.23	Aris - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.23	Obolon - Dynamo Kyiv	2:4 ✺
30.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Mynai	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
20.08.23	Beşiktaş - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Beşiktaş - Neftchi Baku	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.08.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Neftchi Baku - Beşiktaş	1:3 ✺
03.08.23	Tirana - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.12.16	Dynamo Kyiv - Beşiktaş	6:0
28.09.16	Beşiktaş - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1

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