Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports


	Aris		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.2
	3.3	3.3	2.27
	3.32	3.32	2.26
	3.28	3.3	2.21
	3.3	3.35	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.85)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.23 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
28.9%

Draw
29%

Dynamo Kyiv
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

30%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Dynamo Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	37.5%	33.3%

Aris - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Dynamo will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 18.1% – 56.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Julian (C) 33. Montoya M. 4. Fabiano 22. Odubajo M. 3. Ferrari F. 20. Djurasek N. 30. Jules J. 16. Darida V. 32. Karlsson D.M. 17. Palma L. 80. Moron L.	1. Bushchan G. (G) 24. Tymchyk O. 4. Popov D. 34. Syrota O. 44. Dubinchak V. 7. Yarmolenko A. 5. Sydorchuk S. (C) 10. Shaparenko M. 22. Kabaev V. 29. Buyalskyy V. 77. Benito
Substitutes
94. Choutetsiotis L. (G) 7. Christodoulopoulos L. 13. Matarrita R. 27. Menendez J. 77. Panagidis M. 24. Pavicic D. 10. Rupp L. 12. Zamora A.	18. Andriyevski O. 40. Bilovar K. 6. Brazhko V. 30. Diallo S. 25. Dyachuk M. 20. Karavaev O. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 8. Shepelev V. 37. Tsarenko A. 11. Vanat V. 2. Vivcharenko K. 91. Voloshyn N.
Coaches
Terzis A.	Lucescu M.

Preview

1st leg.

Aris is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dynamo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dynamo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Aris	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Aris - Ararat-Armenia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.08.23	BATE Borisov - Aris	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Ararat-Armenia - Aris	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.23	Aris - BATE Borisov	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTW
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.23	Obolon - Dynamo Kyiv	2:4 ✺
30.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Mynai	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Al-Hilal - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Aris	4:0 ✺
12.07.23	Young Boys - Dynamo Kyiv	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Aris	4:0

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