Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin)

Referee: Putros S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Open TV
Ukraine	2plus2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dynamo Kyiv		PAOK

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.10	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.48	Watch
	2.58	3.32	2.72
	2.78	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.50	3.20	2.65
	2.44	3.23	3.01
	2.55	3.15	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.86)	3.22 ↓ (3.62)	2.7 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
36.3%

Draw
29.1%

PAOK
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

25.8%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Kyiv's performance.

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	26.5%	52.9%

Dynamo Kyiv - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Dynamo will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). PAOK will win (votes: 17 - 54.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 37.3% – 72.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - PAOK (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - PAOK (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - PAOK (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Neshcheret R. (G) 94. Kedziora T. 40. Bilovar K. 32. Mykhavko T. 44. Dubinchak V. 8. Pikhalyonok O. (C) 6. Brazhko V. 10. Shaparenko M. 9. Voloshyn N. 11. Ponomarenko M. 39. Guerrero E.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 3. Kenny J. 4. Hatzidiakos P. 5. Michailidis G. 18. Jogo 20. Zafeiris C. 7. Santamaria B. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 65. Konstantelias G. 22. Ali T. 56. Mythou A.
Substitutes
29. Buyalskyy V. 90. Dykyi D. 87. Gerych V. 13. Korobov M. 21. Lonwijk J. 23. Malysh N. 43. Olkhovyi I. (G) 70. Redushko B. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 71. Surkis V. (G) 66. Thiare A. 7. Yarmolenko A.	21. Baba A. 97. Bataoulas D. 2. Camara M. 52. Chatsidis D. 6. Elustondo A. 19. Jeremejeff A. 71. Lyratzis L. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 10. Pelkas D. 11. Taison 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G)
Coaches
Kostyuk I.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Brazhko V. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
14', Ali T. ↓, Taison ↑,
28', Lisci A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Zafeiris C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ponomarenko M. 🟨,
51', 1 - 3, Santamaria B. ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
55', Pikhalyonok O. ↓, Lonwijk J. ↑,
55', Voloshyn N. ↓, Redushko B. ↑,
57', Hatzidiakos P. 🟨,
63', Konstantelias G. 🟨,
68', Shaparenko M. ↓, Buyalskyy V. ↑,
68', Guerrero E. ↓, Yarmolenko A. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Lonwijk J. ⚽, Buyalskyy V. (A),
77', Mythou A. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
77', Zafeiris C. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
83', Zivkovic A. ↓, Chatsidis D. ↑,
83', Hatzidiakos P. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
85', Brazhko V. ↓, Rubchynskyi V. ↑,
88', Jeremejeff A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Motor Lublin Arena.

Dynamo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PAOK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
UEFA Europa League
16.07.26	Universitatea Cluj - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Dynamo Kyiv	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.07.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Universitatea Cluj	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Rapid Bucureşti	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTLL
- PAOK FC
Club Friendly
11.07.26	PAOK - Twente	2:3 ✺
07.07.26	PAOK - AEK Larnaca	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	PAOK - Westerlo	4:0 ✺
01.07.26	PAOK - Beveren	4:1 ✺
Greek Super League
17.05.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWT

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