Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Max, Space, Space
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	CANAL+ Foot
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7, MEGA
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ireland	Virgin Media Two
Italy	Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Sport, VTV Can Tho
World	Disney+


	Dynamo Kyiv		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.7	2.35
	2.85	3.6	2.3
	2.94	3.69	2.4
	2.99	3.91	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.2
	2.98	3.85	2.29
	2.85	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.43)	3.71 ↑ (3.53)	2.32 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
33.1%

Draw
25.7%

Red Bull Salzburg
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Kyiv's form might have worsened.

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.9%	30.2%	41.9%

Dynamo Kyiv - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Dynamo will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). Salzburg will win (votes: 18 - 48.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 32.5% – 64.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bushchan G. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 4. Popov D. 32. Mykhavko T. 44. Dubinchak V. 76. Pikhalyonok O. 6. Brazhko V. 10. Shaparenko M. 7. Yarmolenko A. (C) 11. Vanat V. 22. Kabaev V.	1. Blaswich J. (C) 70. Dedic A. 91. Piatkowski K. 6. Baidoo S. 3. Terzic A. 18. Bidstrup M. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Kjaergaard M. 45. Nene D. 49. Yeo M. K. 30. Gloukh O.
Substitutes
18. Andriyevski O. 40. Bilovar K. 45. Bragaru M. 28. Ceballos B. 17. Lonwijk J. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 15. Rubchynskyi V. 21. Supryaga V. 24. Tymchyk O. 2. Vivcharenko K. 9. Voloshyn N.	7. Capaldo N. 28. Daghim A. 81. Diakite G. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 25. Lukic O. 36. Mellberg J. 5. Okoh B. 21. Ratkov P. 24. Schlager A. (G) 2. Van der Brempt I.
Coaches
Shovkovsky O.	Lijnders P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Terzic A. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Nene D. ⚽, Yeo M. K. (A),
45+3', Dedic A. 🟨,
45+3', Shaparenko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Kjaergaard M. (Pen),
65', Brazhko V. ↓, Mykhaylenko M. ↑,
65', Yarmolenko A. ↓, Voloshyn N. ↑,
69', Nene D. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
69', Yeo M. K. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,
69', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Capaldo N. ↑,
71', Karavaev O. ↓, Tymchyk O. ↑,
71', Vanat V. ↓, Bragaru M. ↑,
78', Van der Brempt I. 🟨,
81', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
86', Kjaergaard M. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
88', Kabaev V. ↓, Supryaga V. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Arena Lublin.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Recently Dynamo have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Glasgow Rangers - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
09.08.24	Veres Rivne - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
31.07.24	Partizan - Dynamo Kyiv	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTW
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
17.08.24	LASK Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Twente - Red Bull Salzburg	3:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
10.08.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Blau-Weiss Linz	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Twente	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.24	Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWW

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