Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Lublin (Lublin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	ESPN 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	16:00	Max, Space, Space
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	ESPN
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7, MEGA
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 2
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ireland	20:00	Virgin Media Two
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Vietnam	02:00	ON Sport, VTV Can Tho
International	19:00	Disney+


	Dynamo Kyiv		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.7	2.35
	2.85	3.6	2.3
	2.94	3.69	2.4
	2.99	3.91	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.2
	2.98	3.85	2.29
	2.85	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.43)	3.71 ↑ (3.53)	2.32 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
33.1%

Draw
25.7%

Red Bull Salzburg
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Kyiv's form might have worsened.

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.9%	30.2%	41.9%

Dynamo Kyiv - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Dynamo will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). Salzburg will win (votes: 18 - 48.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 32.5% – 64.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bushchan G. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 4. Popov D. 32. Mykhavko T. 44. Dubinchak V. 76. Pikhalyonok O. 6. Brazhko V. 10. Shaparenko M. 7. Yarmolenko A. (C) 11. Vanat V. 22. Kabaev V.	1. Blaswich J. (C) 70. Dedic A. 91. Piatkowski K. 6. Baidoo S. 3. Terzic A. 18. Bidstrup M. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Kjaergaard M. 45. Nene D. 49. Yeo M. K. 30. Gloukh O.
Substitutes
18. Andriyevski O. 40. Bilovar K. 45. Bragaru M. 28. Ceballos B. 17. Lonwijk J. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 15. Rubchynskyi V. 21. Supryaga V. 24. Tymchyk O. 2. Vivcharenko K. 9. Voloshyn N.	7. Capaldo N. 28. Daghim A. 81. Diakite G. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 25. Lukic O. 36. Mellberg J. 5. Okoh B. 21. Ratkov P. 24. Schlager A. (G) 2. Van der Brempt I.
Coaches
Shovkovsky O.	Lijnders P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Terzic A. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Nene D. ⚽, Yeo M. K. (A),
45+3', Dedic A. 🟨,
45+3', Shaparenko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Kjaergaard M. (Pen),
65', Brazhko V. ↓, Mykhaylenko M. ↑,
65', Yarmolenko A. ↓, Voloshyn N. ↑,
69', Nene D. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
69', Yeo M. K. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,
69', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Capaldo N. ↑,
71', Karavaev O. ↓, Tymchyk O. ↑,
71', Vanat V. ↓, Bragaru M. ↑,
78', Van der Brempt I. 🟨,
81', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
86', Kjaergaard M. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
88', Kabaev V. ↓, Supryaga V. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Arena Lublin.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Recently Dynamo have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Glasgow Rangers - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
09.08.24	Veres Rivne - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
31.07.24	Partizan - Dynamo Kyiv	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTW
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
17.08.24	LASK Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Twente - Red Bull Salzburg	3:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
10.08.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Blau-Weiss Linz	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Twente	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.24	Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWW

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