Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Servus TV, Sky Sport
Germany	Servus TV, Sky Go Germany
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport


	Twente		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.75	2.45
	2.65	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.69	3.78	2.48
	2.7	3.67	2.46	Watch
	2.38	3.6	2.5
	2.77	3.97	2.38	Watch
	2.65	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.45)	3.72 ↑ (3.35)	2.44 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
35.9%

Draw
25.4%

Red Bull Salzburg
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	30.6%	41.7%

Twente - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 10 - 31.3%). Salzburg will win (votes: 15 - 46.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 29.6% – 64.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 34. Salah-Eddine A. 2. Hilgers M. 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 5. Kuipers B. 4. Kjolo M. 6. Eiting C. 11. Rots D. 10. Lammers S. 18. Vlap M. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. (C)	1. Blaswich J. (C) 70. Dedic A. 91. Piatkowski K. 6. Baidoo S. 3. Terzic A. 18. Bidstrup M. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Kjaergaard M. 45. Nene D. 49. Yeo M. K. 30. Gloukh O.
Substitutes
38. Bruns M. 16. El Maach I. (G) 29. Kuster H. 30. Ltaief S. 24. Mesbahi J. 39. Rots M. 14. Steijn S. 19. Taha Y. 22. Tyton P. (G) 7. van Bergen M.	7. Capaldo N. 28. Daghim A. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 41. Krumrey J. (G) 5. Okoh B. 21. Ratkov P. 23. Simic R. 2. Van der Brempt I.
Coaches
Oosting J.	Lijnders P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Kjaergaard M. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
24', Rots D. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Nene D. ⚽, Dedic A. (A),
37', Vlap M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Hilgers M. ⚽, Eiting C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 3, Yeo M. K. ⚽, Bidstrup M. (A),
51', Hilgers M. 🟨,
54', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Diambou M. ↑,
61', Kuipers B. ↓, Rots M. ↑,
61', Kjolo M. ↓, Steijn S. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
67', Yeo M. K. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
67', Nene D. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
68', Rots D. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
73', Kjaergaard M. (Pen),
76', Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↓, Taha Y. ↑,
79', Blaswich J. 🟨,
81', Bidstrup M. ↓, Capaldo N. ↑,
81', Gloukh O. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
82', Steijn S. 🟨,
87', 3 - 3, Steijn S. ⚽, van Wolfswinkel R. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Twente is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salzburg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Salzburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Twente won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
10.08.24	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Twente	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Twente - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
12.07.24	Twente - Nordsjælland	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Twente - Sint-Truidense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTWT
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
10.08.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Blau-Weiss Linz	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Twente	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.24	Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.24	Dornbirn - Red Bull Salzburg	0:6 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Twente	2:1

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