The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hegelmann Litauen 36.1%
Draw 29.1%
Džiugas Telšiai 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
28.6%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
28.1%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hegelmann Litauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Džiugas Telšiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Hegelmann Litauen - Džiugas Telšiai Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hegelmann will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Džiugas will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 37. Radonja V. 18. Sadauskas R. 30. Isaac B. 16. Remeikis M. 77. Wesley 8. Armanavicius V. (C) 10. Oum Gouet S. 19. Pasilys D. 11. Njoya A. 67. Kaulinis A.
1. Paukste M. (G) 2. Vermeulen V. 4. Sane B. 24. Okpolokpo J. 46. Wawszczyk J. 10. Piliukaitis V. 8. Bunchukov D. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 16. Chapi 90. Sobowale R. 9. Scotto I. E.
Substitutes
6. Harouna A. 20. Jonaitis L. 71. Jonavicius E. 21. Kausinis E. 32. Mendes K. A. 1. Paukste L. (G) 45. Shchedryi A. 24. Sinkevicius D. 26. Slendzoka D. 22. Tibell D.
44. Asomugha B. 23. Cisse I. 77. Marchuk A. 21. Patella S. R. 6. Pavlovskij N. 22. Rybcynskij M. (G) 48. Stelmokas T. 27. Vinckus D. 14. Zevzikovas D.
Coaches
Aramburu Erneta M.
Lipskis A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ankudinovas L. 🟨,
32', Njoya A. 🟨,
34', Remeikis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Wawszczyk J. ↓, Vinckus D. ↑,
58', Piliukaitis V. ↓, Zevzikovas D. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Armanavicius V. ⚽,
62', Pasilys D. ↓, Shchedryi A. ↑,
70', Bunchukov D. ↓, Pavlovskij N. ↑,
70', Chapi ↓, Stelmokas T. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Sobowale R. ⚽,
77', Kaulinis A. 🟨,
79', Scotto I. E. 🟨,
83', Kaulinis A. ↓, Kausinis E. ↑,
83', Scotto I. E. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
90+2', Cisse I. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 3.
In recent matches, Hegelmann has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Džiugas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Hegelmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Džiugas has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:13. (average 1.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Hegelmann won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.1:0.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Dziugas Telsiai
28
10
8
10
36:40
-4
38
8
Hegelmann
29
4
14
11
31:48
-17
26
Last Results with these Odds
Hegelmann Litauen - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.06%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Džiugas Telšiai - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.35%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.