The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kauno Žalgiris 63.7%
Draw 21.8%
Banga Gargždai 14.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.1%
22.7%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.2%
22%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 2. Burdzilauskas T. 3. Tolordava A. 77. Lekiatas R. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 8. Karashima Y. 6. Pavlovic D. 15. Leo Ribeiro 7. Benchaib A. 70. Ourega F. 9. Ikaunieks D.
14. Krynskyi V. (G) 19. Antuzis V. (C) 27. Henning R. 3. Malzinskas D. 51. Cadu 45. Sato M. 11. Filipavicius R. 21. Praleika S. 99. Olugbogi A. 9. Appiah A. 7. Norvilas D.
Substitutes
1. Aliukonis J. (G) 32. Baldassarra F. 24. Burba M. 23. Hernandez A. 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 45. Moutachy J. 79. Paulauskas V. 19. Renan Oliveira 10. Sirgedas G.
17. Andrejev M. 30. Cande U. 47. Fosuhene Asare K. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 53. Juozapavicius J. 20. Levsinas A. 10. Magdusauskas V. 6. Simao J. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G)
Coaches
Cerniauskas E.
Marques Afonso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Tolordava A. 🟥,
19', Ikaunieks D. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
35', Leo Ribeiro 🟨,
37', Cadu 🟨,
43', Norvilas D. ↓, Magdusauskas V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Filipavicius R. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
60', Benchaib A. ↓, Burba M. ↑,
60', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Baldassarra F. ↑,
60', Pavlovic D. ↓, Renan Oliveira ↑,
62', Cadu ↓, Levsinas A. ↑,
74', Renan Oliveira 🟨,
75', Baldassarra F. 🟨,
80', Burdzilauskas T. ↓, Moutachy J. ↑,
82', Olugbogi A. ↓, Cande U. ↑,
82', Appiah A. ↓, Fosuhene Asare K. ↑,
83', Sato M. ↓, Andrejev M. ↑,
88', Fosuhene Asare K. 🟨,
90+5', Krynskyi V. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Kauno Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Banga has had a series of away games.
In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Kauno Zalgiris
28
14
9
5
56:20
36
51
5
Banga
28
11
8
9
32:28
4
41
Last Results with these Odds
Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 62.05%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.