The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Džiugas Telšiai 42%
Draw 28.6%
Hegelmann Litauen 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
27.7%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
23.3%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Džiugas Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Hegelmann Litauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Džiugas Telšiai - Hegelmann Litauen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paukste M. (G) 44. Asomugha B. 23. Cisse I. 5. Rutkovskis M. 27. Vinckus D. 7. Pedro Bahia 6. Pavlovskij N. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 8. Bunchukov D. 10. Piliukaitis V. 90. Sobowale R.
1. Paukste L. (G) 37. Radonja V. 30. Isaac B. 44. Nathan Silva 27. Richard 8. Armanavicius V. (C) 10. Oum Gouet S. 9. Kazlauskas D. 77. Wesley 45. Shchedryi A. 22. Tibell D.
Substitutes
97. Balasanov A. 25. Evina F. 40. Grauslys O. 88. Meinorius M. 70. Ouattara A. 91. Ryabenko V. (G) 9. Scotto I. E. 48. Stelmokas T. 14. Zevzikovas D.
6. Harouna A. 67. Kaulinis A. 21. Kausinis E. 80. Kolendo L. (G) 11. Njoya A. 19. Pasilys D. 5. Puerto A. 16. Remeikis M. 18. Sadauskas R. 24. Sinkevicius D. 26. Slendzoka D.
Coaches
Lipskis A.
Aramburu Erneta M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Vinckus D. ⚽,
19', Rutkovskis M. ↓, Scotto I. E. ↑,
35', Isaac B. 🟨,
44', Nathan Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Tibell D. ⚽, Kazlauskas D. (A),
55', Wesley 🟨,
57', Richard ↓, Remeikis M. ↑,
57', Isaac B. ↓, Puerto A. ↑,
68', Kazlauskas D. ↓, Kaulinis A. ↑,
68', Shchedryi A. ↓, Kausinis E. ↑,
72', Ankudinovas L. 🟨,
77', Pedro Bahia ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
77', Ankudinovas L. ↓, Zevzikovas D. ↑,
80', Radonja V. ↓, Sadauskas R. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Sobowale R. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Tibell D. ⚽,
90', Tibell D. 🟨,
90', Pavlovskij N. ↓, Stelmokas T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 1.
Recent form of Džiugas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hegelmann is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Džiugas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Džiugas has had a series of away games.
Džiugas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Džiugas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).