Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alfredo de Castilho (Bauru)


	EC Noroeste		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.90	3.60
	1.85	3.05	4.10
	2.00	3.05	4.20
	2.08	2.72	4.2	Watch
	1.96	2.85	4.10
	1.90	3.13	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)	2.95 ↓ (3.04)	4.02 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
46.4%

Draw
30.9%

Portuguesa RJ
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.7%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.4%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for EC Noroeste have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Portuguesa RJ aligns with the current prediction.

EC Noroeste - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Matheus Iacovelli ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Lohan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 3, Matheus Iacovelli ⚽,
74', 🟥,
78', 1 - 3, Marlyson ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Noroeste will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Portuguesa RJ - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	EC Noroeste - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Piracicaba - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Nova Iguaçu - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTLW
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Portuguesa RJ - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Portuguesa - Portuguesa RJ	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Portuguesa RJ - America RJ	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Madureira - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa RJ	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Portuguesa RJ - EC Noroeste	1:1

EC Noroeste - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide